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Re: population modelling, a la Brian

From: Beth Fulton <beth.fulton@m...>
Date: Tue, 17 Oct 2000 11:19:25 +1100
Subject: Re: population modelling, a la Brian

G'day again,

--> What would that be? England has a low pop
 >growth now. I'd guess that it might be what -
 >maybe 90-100 million by then?
 >Isn't it around 60 or 70 now?

Its about 59.5 million as of July 2000. Gives them roughly 65 million by

2130s so if Albion matches that then in the 2180s it should have about
200 
million if its rate of growth doesn't decline, as little as half of that
if 
it does. The thing with populations is it all depends on the timing of
the 
changes in technology and growth rates, if they suddenly get a boost
when 
they've just hit the exponential part of the curve then you'll see a 
mammoth explosion in a very short time.

Cheers

Beth

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Elizabeth Fulton
c/o CSIRO Division of Marine Research
GPO Box 1538
HOBART
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Phone (03) 6232 5018 International +61 3 6232 5018
Fax 03 6232 5053 International +61 3 6232 5053

email: beth.fulton@marine.csiro.au

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