Re: population modelling, a la Brian
From: Beth Fulton <beth.fulton@m...>
Date: Tue, 17 Oct 2000 11:19:25 +1100
Subject: Re: population modelling, a la Brian
G'day again,
--> What would that be? England has a low pop
>growth now. I'd guess that it might be what -
>maybe 90-100 million by then?
>Isn't it around 60 or 70 now?
Its about 59.5 million as of July 2000. Gives them roughly 65 million by
2130s so if Albion matches that then in the 2180s it should have about
200
million if its rate of growth doesn't decline, as little as half of that
if
it does. The thing with populations is it all depends on the timing of
the
changes in technology and growth rates, if they suddenly get a boost
when
they've just hit the exponential part of the curve then you'll see a
mammoth explosion in a very short time.
Cheers
Beth
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Elizabeth Fulton
c/o CSIRO Division of Marine Research
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email: beth.fulton@marine.csiro.au