Re: [FT] OFFICIAL RULING REQUEST (was Re: Couple of questions)

-MWS- wrote in reply to me:

> > I got the average SM salvo damage vs 1 PDS to 9.75, which is a 3.2%
> > increase from the "intuitively expected" value.
> 
> The actual value for SM against 1 PDS is 2.644 dice for 9.255 points >
average

Um... no. That's *less* than the "intuitively expected" average damage
of

(3.5-0.8)*3.5 = 9.45. The real value should be higher than this if you
take the effects of overkilling missiles into account.

Let's see - here's the matrix again:

> S/P| 1  2  3	4  5  6
> ---+-----------------   
>  1 | 1  1  1	0  0  0
>  2 | 2  2  2	1  1  0
>  3 | 3  3  3	2  2  1, reroll PDS
>  4 | 4  4  4	3  3  2, reroll PDS
>  5 | 5  5  5	4  4  3, reroll PDS
>  6 | 6  6  6	5  5  4, reroll PDS

I get:

First and second lines, no problem - 3/6 and 8/6, respectively.

Third line: 13/6 + 1/6 * 3/6 (or 14/6 - 1 * 1/6 * 3/6), also no problem.

Fourth line: 18/6 + 1/6 * (2 * 3/6 + 1 * 2/6) - aha, here's a
difference.
You seem to have deducted the missiles that get through the PDS fire
instead of those which get nailed by the re-rolls.

Later,

Oerjan Ohlson
oerjan.ohlson@telia.com

"Life is like a sewer.
  What you get out of it, depends on what you put into it."
- Hen3ry