RE: The GZGverse UN
From: Oerjan Ohlson <oerjan.ohlson@t...>
Date: Thu, 15 Aug 2002 19:12:10 +0200
Subject: RE: The GZGverse UN
Ian Cotgias wrote:
>If the English can help the French in 1914 and 1939 with a Monarch who
is
>half-German and after over 1000 years of bloody war against the French
>then I think the Swedes and Finns can settle their differences over
WWII.
It's not so much a matter of "differences over WWII" as a matter of
political attitude and military capability. Sweden has a nearly two
hundred
year long tradition of not getting officially involved in wars raging on
our doorstep, and we have neither the economy nor the population base to
raise a serious military force except by conscripting virtually everyone
able to fight (and that'll wreck our economy completely!). In contrast,
by
1914 the UK had a seven hundred year long tradition of reasonably
successful military interventions on the continent, and had a large
empire
to draw manpower and other resources from (not to mention a much larger
manpower pool at home than Sweden has even now) - it wasn't really a
question about *whether* Britain would get involved in WW1, only on
which
side she'd enter the war. The grand alliances weren't particularly
stable
in the two-three decades prior to the war, after all.
So no, I don't think that Britain in 1914 is a very good comparison to
Sweden today, or even in 2102. I consider it far more likely that
Finland
was/will be (depending on your temporal POV) one of the founding states
of
the NSL - Germany is a far, far more powerful ally than Sweden, and by
the
time of the EU civil war in 2101-02 it has been Finland's powerful ally
for
well over a century.
>Also the emergence of supra-national empires in the vicinity of the
Scan
>countries would require an economic federation to prevent the economies
>being outdone.
We've been living next door to a "supra-national empire" for nearly
three
hundred years, yet for some strange reason we didn't join the local
"economic federation" (commonly known as "EU") until *after* that
"supra-national empire" collapsed... and it collapsed due primarily to
economic bankruptcy. Unless the (communistic) ESU proves vastly more
effective economically than the (communistic) USSR was, I don't think
that
the ESU economic threat is valid.
> It would then be a fairly small step for a charismatic leader to turn
an
> economic union into a political one.
<chuckle>. That's exactly what's happening in the EU as we speak, isn't
it?
I must say that the charisma is really overflowing in the current top EU
leadership...
>The differences between the Scandinavian nations is surely no greater
than
>the differences between the member states of the FSE. And they all had
>some common ground in wanting to be out of the NSL
You have that completely backwards. "They" - meaning the NSL, ScanFed
and
the Netherlands - all had some common ground in wanting to get out of
the
*FSE*. The FSE is the "rump EU" - it consists of those countries which
didn't break away from the EU in the 2101-02 war. (AFAIK the FSE member
states haven't been arch-enemies the way Sweden and Denmark has either,
though of course that depends on how far into the Balkans the FSE
stretches
:-/ )
Regards,
Oerjan
oerjan.ohlson@telia.com
"Life is like a sewer.
What you get out of it, depends on what you put into it."