RE: [FT] "Old" FB Railguns
From: "Tim Jones" <Tim.Jones@S...>
Date: Tue, 8 Dec 1998 16:10:14 -0000
Subject: RE: [FT] "Old" FB Railguns
>Hey Tim,
>
>How did you factor in the reroll potential? (Just curious as
>I am not a probability specialist...)
>
>-=Kr'rt
Yes Kurt, neither was I - its from Michael Sandy's rather neat
original calculation - double checked with a monte carlo simulation
of my own.
<Michael Sandy>
How much damage, on average, is done by the reroll?
Call this amount 'x'.
x = 4/6 + 1/6*x, or
5/6 x = 4/6
x = .8 points.
So, 1 dice of beam damage can be expected to do
4/6 + .8/6, or 4.8/6, or 4/5 versus no shields.
</Michael Sandy>
i.e. 0.8 average damage with reroll per die(no shields/Iarmor)
-= tim jones =-