GZG List archives -- October 2005

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Re: [GZG] laser classes



On 10/26/05, Brian B <brianbinor@xxxxxxxxx> wrote:
> RETRACTION
>
> On 10/26/05, Brian B <brianbinor@xxxxxxxxx> wrote:
>
> > The cases are additive so with 16 cases
> > > odds are 16 in 30,233,088 so the final count is 1 in 1,889,568.
> >
> > Wrong a final time.  Remember that when you add, you have to add to
> > BOTH sides -- so even using your incorrect 30,233,088 16 cases with
> > odds of 1 in 30,233,088 per case means odds odf 16 in 483,729,408
> > which comes out to 1 in 30,233,088.
>
> I was wrong on this point.  I stand by the rest, but on this point, B was right.

Which means that, sticking with my 20 cases and 60,466,088,  the odds
end up as 1 in 3,023,304.4

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